QUVIX · La Liga · 2026-08-20

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Rayo Vallecano at 46.9%, the draw at 24.6% and Alaves at 28.5% for this La Liga fixture on 2026-08-20 (kick-off 19:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	46.9%	2.15
Draw	24.6%	3.05
Away	28.5%	3.70

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	53.4%	2.62
Under 2.5	46.6%	1.44

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	56.0%	2.18
No	44.0%	1.62

Head to head — last 5

2026-05-23 — Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
2026-01-14 — Alaves 2–0 Rayo Vallecano (Copa del Rey)
2025-10-26 — Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves (La Liga)
2025-03-29 — Alaves 0–2 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
2024-10-26 — Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves (La Liga)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.