QUVIX · Ligue 1 · 2026-08-21

Marseille vs Strasbourg — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Marseille at 42.0%, the draw at 24.7% and Strasbourg at 33.2% for this Ligue 1 fixture on 2026-08-21 (kick-off 18:45 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	42.0%	1.73
Draw	24.7%	4.05
Away	33.2%	4.24

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	55.0%	1.52
Under 2.5	45.0%	2.44

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	58.1%	1.52
No	41.9%	2.40

Head to head — last 5

2026-02-14 — Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
2025-09-26 — Strasbourg 1–2 Marseille (Ligue 1)
2025-01-19 — Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
2024-09-29 — Strasbourg 1–0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
2024-01-12 — Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.