QUVIX · Ligue 1 · 2026-08-22

Toulouse vs Lyon — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Toulouse at 40.1%, the draw at 24.4% and Lyon at 35.5% for this Ligue 1 fixture on 2026-08-22 (kick-off 18:45 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	40.1%	3.10
Draw	24.4%	3.58
Away	35.5%	2.14

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	57.1%	1.73
Under 2.5	42.9%	2.10

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	59.9%	1.60
No	40.1%	2.25

Head to head — last 5

2026-05-10 — Toulouse 2–1 Lyon (Ligue 1)
2025-10-05 — Lyon 1–2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
2025-01-18 — Lyon 0–0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
2024-09-29 — Toulouse 1–2 Lyon (Ligue 1)
2024-03-15 — Toulouse 2–3 Lyon (Ligue 1)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.