QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-02

Kazakhstan vs Moldova — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Kazakhstan at 44.7%, the draw at 25.7% and Moldova at 29.6% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-02 (kick-off 14:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	44.7%	1.73
Draw	25.7%	3.52
Away	29.6%	4.95

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	49.2%	2.10
Under 2.5	50.8%	1.73

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	53.1%	1.96
No	46.9%	1.75

Head to head — last 3

2022-03-29 — Kazakhstan 0–1 Moldova (UEFA Nations League)
2022-03-24 — Moldova 1–2 Kazakhstan (UEFA Nations League)
2019-02-21 — Kazakhstan 1–0 Moldova (Friendlies)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.