QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-02

France vs Italy — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices France at 44.4%, the draw at 26.1% and Italy at 29.5% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-02 (kick-off 18:45 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	44.4%	1.40
Draw	26.1%	5.00
Away	29.5%	6.50

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	47.8%	1.44
Under 2.5	52.2%	2.70

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	51.9%	1.62
No	48.1%	2.20

Head to head — last 4

2024-11-17 — Italy 1–3 France (UEFA Nations League)
2024-09-06 — France 1–3 Italy (UEFA Nations League)
2018-06-01 — France 3–1 Italy (Friendlies)
2008-06-17 — France 0–2 Italy (Euro Championship)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.