QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-02

Poland vs Romania — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Poland at 45.2%, the draw at 25.1% and Romania at 29.8% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-02 (kick-off 18:45 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	45.2%	1.55
Draw	25.1%	4.00
Away	29.8%	5.75

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	52.1%	1.80
Under 2.5	47.9%	2.02

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	55.3%	1.84
No	44.7%	1.88

Head to head — last 2

2017-06-10 — Poland 3–1 Romania (World Cup - Qualification Europe)
2016-11-11 — Romania 0–3 Poland (World Cup - Qualification Europe)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.