QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-02

Latvia vs Montenegro — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Latvia at 39.8%, the draw at 26.9% and Montenegro at 33.3% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-02 (kick-off 16:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	39.8%	4.50
Draw	26.9%	3.40
Away	33.3%	1.81

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	45.8%	2.25
Under 2.5	54.2%	1.65

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	50.9%	2.00
No	49.1%	1.72

Head to head — last 3

2021-09-07 — Montenegro 0–0 Latvia (World Cup - Qualification Europe)
2021-03-24 — Latvia 1–2 Montenegro (World Cup - Qualification Europe)
2020-10-07 — Montenegro 1–1 Latvia (Friendlies)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.