QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-03

Croatia vs England — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Croatia at 38.7%, the draw at 25.8% and England at 35.5% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-03 (kick-off 16:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	38.7%	3.92
Draw	25.8%	3.75
Away	35.5%	1.85

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	50.7%	1.75
Under 2.5	49.3%	2.10

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	54.9%	1.63
No	45.1%	2.15

Head to head — last 5

2026-06-17 — England 4–2 Croatia (World Cup)
2021-06-13 — England 1–0 Croatia (Euro Championship)
2018-11-18 — England 2–1 Croatia (UEFA Nations League)
2018-10-12 — Croatia 0–0 England (UEFA Nations League)
2018-07-11 — Croatia 1–1 England (World Cup)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.