QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-03

Iceland vs Bulgaria — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Iceland at 45.0%, the draw at 26.2% and Bulgaria at 28.8% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-03 (kick-off 16:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	45.0%	1.42
Draw	26.2%	4.45
Away	28.8%	7.50

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	47.1%	1.84
Under 2.5	52.9%	2.00

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	51.3%	2.02
No	48.7%	1.72

Play the prediction game →

Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.