QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-03

Belarus vs San Marino — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Belarus at 55.7%, the draw at 23.2% and San Marino at 21.1% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-03 (kick-off 16:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	55.7%	1.11
Draw	23.2%	9.20
Away	21.1%	22.00

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	52.6%	1.35
Under 2.5	47.4%	2.92

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	52.6%	2.39
No	47.4%	1.52

Head to head — last 2

2018-11-18 — San Marino 0–2 Belarus (UEFA Nations League)
2018-09-08 — Belarus 5–0 San Marino (UEFA Nations League)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.