QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-03

Estonia vs Luxembourg — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Estonia at 39.8%, the draw at 26.0% and Luxembourg at 34.1% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-03 (kick-off 16:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	39.8%	2.96
Draw	26.0%	3.10
Away	34.1%	2.45

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	49.4%	2.24
Under 2.5	50.6%	1.65

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	53.8%	1.85
No	46.2%	1.83

Play the prediction game →

Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.