QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-04

Wales vs Denmark — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Wales at 36.3%, the draw at 26.9% and Denmark at 36.8% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-04 (kick-off 18:45 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	36.3%	4.18
Draw	26.9%	3.84
Away	36.8%	1.77

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	46.1%	1.74
Under 2.5	53.9%	2.10

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	51.3%	1.67
No	48.7%	2.11

Head to head — last 4

2026-09-27 — Denmark 2–0 Wales (UEFA Nations League)
2021-06-26 — Wales 0–4 Denmark (Euro Championship)
2018-11-16 — Wales 1–2 Denmark (UEFA Nations League)
2018-09-09 — Denmark 2–0 Wales (UEFA Nations League)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.