QUVIX · UEFA Nations League · 2026-10-04

Netherlands vs Serbia — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Netherlands at 53.6%, the draw at 23.6% and Serbia at 22.8% for this UEFA Nations League fixture on 2026-10-04 (kick-off 18:45 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	53.6%	1.27
Draw	23.6%	5.63
Away	22.8%	11.50

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	53.1%	1.49
Under 2.5	46.9%	2.40

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	53.8%	1.95
No	46.2%	1.77

Head to head — last 1

2026-09-27 — Serbia 1–2 Netherlands (UEFA Nations League)

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Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. How the model works · Terms.