QUVIX · MLS · 2026-08-16

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices New York City FC at 50.0%, the draw at 22.5% and Philadelphia Union at 27.4% for this MLS fixture on 2026-08-16 (kick-off 22:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	50.0%	1.73
Draw	22.5%	3.90
Away	27.4%	4.20

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	62.2%	1.63
Under 2.5	37.8%	2.25

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	62.4%	1.60
No	37.6%	2.20

Head to head — last 5

2026-03-01 — Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC (Major League Soccer)
2025-11-24 — Philadelphia Union 0–1 New York City FC (Major League Soccer)
2025-10-04 — Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC (Major League Soccer)
2025-04-12 — New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer)
2024-09-18 — New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer)

Play the prediction game →

Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. Terms.