QUVIX · MLS · 2026-08-16

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers — model prediction

QUVIX's statistical model prices Chicago Fire at 50.8%, the draw at 21.6% and Portland Timbers at 27.6% for this MLS fixture on 2026-08-16 (kick-off 22:00 UTC).

Model probabilities vs market odds

Match result (1X2)

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Home	50.8%	1.61
Draw	21.6%	4.50
Away	27.6%	4.40

Over / Under

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Over 2.5	66.9%	1.34
Under 2.5	33.1%	3.10

Both teams to score

Selection	Model probability	Market odds
Yes	66.0%	1.40
No	34.0%	2.72

Head to head — last 5

2026-02-14 — Chicago Fire 3–4 Portland Timbers (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-02-08 — Portland Timbers 0–0 Chicago Fire (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-02-17 — Portland Timbers 1–2 Chicago Fire (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-06-22 — Portland Timbers 1–2 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer)
2019-08-15 — Portland Timbers 3–2 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer)

Play the prediction game →

Probabilities are model estimates for a free prediction game played with virtual credits — no real money, and nothing here is betting advice. Odds shown are aggregated market snapshots. Terms.